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How Will an Obama Administration Affect the Dollar?
The Free Lunch Approach to Finance
10 Points About the Markets
ECB Balance Sheet Continues to Balloon at Unprecedented Rate
Will European Interest Rate Cuts Strengthen the Dollar?
because of loans to eastern europe and south america, maybe we see a run to the euro just because they will sell everything to cover their margin calls...
Welcome to your Financial Halloween!
will burst? imagine the euro, ok, take this advise, boy some chinese coal,
if you cant make a profit, at least you can spend a warm winter.
The Biggest Bubble of Them All
what you guys need a IMF structural
adjustment loan with condicionality!
Coming Inflation To Boost Stocks, Gold
China Slowdown: Biggest Test For Communist Government Yet
Selectively Bullish in Times Like These
return to Japanese exporters, banks and government bonds, with all enjoying a piece in the middle. Is sad that investment banks were greedy enough to pollute all the chain selling low quality debts as AAA assets.
Now nobody trust in anyone and is a sort of ice age for global trade.
The news on closing the exchanges may create a massive selloff, Silvio Inc. must be shorting a lot of things for sure, and I will use this voters or PPT spring to short some more. Is a baaad idea, specially if they dont have an agreed plan. I been reading some proposals, like a 20% devaluation of the US$ in exchange of a chunk of Asia saving to cover the hole, and continue the nice trade. The club of the 20s has the last word, in the mean time mermaids can be dangerous: China is screwed with a zombie trading partner, same as Asean in 1998 they are collapsing, the difference is this time they can make some voodoo tricks
with their 2 trillions, (like a Euro revival for example).
Treasury gringos may be happy to dump their debt somewhere and go shopping again, but Ben holds only 25% of US treasuries now, a healthy move that is telling to me has no problem with the mentioned devaluation as an option to the IMF medicine of fiscal responsibility. But also means that China will not colect more green barbage this time (or will charge a reasonable yield to do it). So make your own bet: who will get a lifejacket in the sinking globalized Titanic? Not the countries outside of the 20s club for sure: there will be the next massacre and probably some compassive Japanese PM will fund the IMF with lots of highly indebted yens to praying the Washington Concensus once more.
This deal really sucks! They will bailout themselves once more at GS style...
Reverse Carry Trade Borrowing Proves Deadly
Reverse Carry Trade Borrowing Proves Deadly
central banks, banks and other bond holders from Brazil to Korea, including Singapore.
In Europe the governments are rescuing the money of deposits in failed banks, with large injections of equity into their financial systems. To finance these rescues, the governments are selling bonds to their local central banks that are under the control of the European Central Bank, which creates money to buy those bonds, so large deficits are being built. As the credit intermediation activity is paralyzed by the lack of trust between the banks, the increase in the ECB monetary base by the new debt emissions has not been inflationary (and gold prices noted that).
The most competitive financial systems of Germany, France, Netherlands, Belgium, probably will start to create credit soon as the
rates are returning to normal, maybe this week. Less competitive and “highly leveraged” consumers and construction firms
in Spain, Portugal, Greece will need to be refinanced.
The EU common monetary policy will face a hard option soon: to print more euros to buy all the EU bonds (inflation) or to establish
some discipline (deep recessions for some members and shallow recessions for others ). An unavoidable decision for the ECB that
probably will be taken in the next days. If the criteria is to minimize the European inflation I don’t see any option but a mayor adjustment
in the member countries with more risky government bonds.
At the end of the day, the FED transformed a monetary problem in a fiscal restriction, and the same can be in the US, any public spending initiative will be hardly funded, not a good time for love promises.
have a nice day...
Bye-Bye Dividends
The Next Crisis Is on the Horizon
he didnt go the basic idea of the currency swap operations...a fine option
to sterilization when other central banks wants your bad debt.
The Airline Index and GDP: What's the Relationship?