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429 Comments

    • Wed Dec 3rd 14:16 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      10-Year Treasury Note Overbought
      Same is true with TBT on the 20 year side. I cannot believe how people are paying $128 for a $100k bond. Unless someone,the FED, was going to buy it back at those prices... The market can truly stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
      View article »
    • Wed Dec 3rd 13:03 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Harvard's top three positions are now in emerging markets, which it apparently hopes will help it out of its rut. Or perhaps, conversely, margin calls forced it to exit some positions. One blogger wonders how colleges will survive.
      Booo hoo! What's the issue? That they might actually have to spend a few million of the principal in the endowment? Are you kidding me? If there was ever a poster child for the notion of "less obscenely wealthy" Harvard, ye are it. $26Billion is still over $1 mil/full time student.

      And isn't the economy going to come back some time next year? Why all the fuss? tuition will still increase obscenely, they will still overspend for capital projects, and will still overpay their teaching staff. Life will continue.
      View news story »
    • Mon Dec 1st 15:39 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Bond Expert: Monday Outlook
      Interesting to hear that - I'm getting KILLED in my TBT position. I agree with the thesis, but man, this is painful.
      View article »
    • Mon Dec 1st 11:00 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Bond Expert: Monday Outlook
      How much higher can prices go - you're paying $120K for a $100K face bond? Isn't that bubble behavior?
      View article »
    • Wed Nov 26th 07:42 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Enjoy the Strong U.S. Dollar While You Can
      I like the TBT as well, UDN, and commodities also not bad. DGP/GLD good too.
      View article »
    • Tue Nov 25th 07:41 AM
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      Rating: +2 0
      Commented on:
      Fast Money Recap - Who Cares about the Citi Rally? (11/24/08)
      Did anyone catch in the Citi announcement that with the infusion their tier 1 capital is at 9%? 9%? That's it? that STINKS!!! A break up is still better - but at least the top dogs will get their bonuses.
      View article »
    • Mon Nov 24th 15:42 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Is It Time to Short Bonds?
      I agree - from a risk reward basis, this is a very solid trade.
      View article »
    • Tue Nov 18th 15:35 PM
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      Rating: +1 0
      Commented on:
      Foreign Demand for U.S. Treasuries Is Still Strong
      TBT is a good way to play that - if it would just @#(( work!
      View article »
    • Tue Nov 18th 08:10 AM
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      Rating: 0 -2
      Commented on:
      Peak Oil's Bell Is Ringing
      I cannot believe the amount of enviro-flotsam proferred here.

      Ladies, give up your makeup - it's petroleum based too.

      We're not at peak oil, there are billions of barrels in the US - we're at peak "willingness to drill." big difference.

      "efficient solar" will provide 2.5%, a glorious 2.5% of power in 2020. Rolling blackouts anyone?

      Emphasis should be put on cleaner coal which with better catalytic capabilites is easily achievable - a 10% reduction in coal emissions negates ALL, yes, ALL, alternative energy options deployed.



      There is NO global warming, there are only cyclical changes - you know what they're finding under those receding ice floes? Villages, civilizations, implying that this has happened before. Our earth's rotation and axial tilt cause these changes not us.

      Now, is pollution bad? of course, but it's not global warming - the two are non sequitirs.

      So, less pollution good, global warming, fake. Nice try. And there's no point in driving toxic Priuses and using Mercury Laden fluorescent bulbs that are far more poisonous to our environment than nuclear energy.
      View article »
    • Tue Nov 11th 08:44 AM
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      Rating: +5 -1
      Commented on:
      My U.S. Infrastructure and Employment Plan
      A-@#($@*#-MEN!!!! Since we're going to have one regardless This is exactly the kind of WPA type program we need- first thing I would do though is replace all the transmission lines with composites which would yield an immediate 10-15% in available electrical supply previously lost to friction. China recognizes this and is deploying this material now.

      I would also add rail upgrades as well - take more of the trucks off the road and reestablish train travel (bullet trains anyone?) as a major mode of transportation.

      I'm still bothered by the batteries though, they just don't seem ready yet. But LNG, absolutely. We've got LOTS of it here.

      I hope the Obama team reads this article. A lot of good ideas here.
      View article »
    • Tue Nov 4th 15:48 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Coming Inflation To Boost Stocks, Gold
      WOW! What about OIL? Plus what about the long bond, rates must go up, no? wouldn't that dump the long bond towards 72?
      View article »
    • Mon Nov 3rd 10:04 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Coast to Coast Deflation Fears
      Exactly right - we've already endured the deflation component and with the fed's printing prices on full speed, inflation is a greater probability 6 months from now.
      View article »
    • Sat Nov 1st 18:33 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Shorting the Long Bond: The Obama Solution Meets China
      The "quality flights" that push the long bonds up will likely continue to provide good entry points on TBT and PST as well. Between that, and UDN, it's the easiest money in town.
      View article »
    • Fri Oct 31st 11:54 AM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Is the Government's Fannie/Freddie Conservatorship Failing?
      This was never about rates. It was about the evaporation of capital bases.

      Rates must go up as more debt is issued and more dollars create inflation. Shorting the long end of the yield curve is the easiest money out there right now (while its still legal anyway.)
      View article »
    • Mon Oct 27th 12:34 PM
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      Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Dollar Strength: An Illusion
      Of course its not solvent - compare GDP against the now $60Trillion in liabilities and contingent liabilities it's obligated to pay BEFORE we added on the guarantees of banks insurance companies and all manner of financing entities. The hard asset inflation that will occur as a result of the dollar's soon to come nose dive will be astonishing to all, except those who are long commodities, short the dollar and the long end of the yield curve.
      View article »